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Don’t lose money
- Take calculated risks
- Outperform the market index s&p 500 spy
- Don’t lose money
The only advantage retail investors have over large managed funds is time horizon and flexibly to reallocate all positions as needed.
I got spy puts, sh and sqqq at march 13, 2020 at 3:58pm during last Friday’s Trump Pump
Trump artificial stock pump today. So blatant and pointless as his lies about 1700 google engineers website for Covit19 test.Why do you need 1700 engineers to make 1 simple static page for a flowchart.
This one will probably be pretty bad since we’re (USA) is likely about to go lockdown mode (everyone home) in next 2-4 weeks. Ghost malls and cinemas. No sports, no entertainment, no travel, no shopping and no gambling. This is the heart of USA economy. However, this recession likely will pass in 6-12 months as people fully recover from deadly beer flu.
Here’s an snippet of my email on Yesterday (march 13,2020) was the epic dump day -10%, today is the dead cat pump + 3%
I personally went hard shorting and buying puts today.
Here’s my plays to profit from upcoming downturn :
Home run put options : (High risk) spy puts 220 april 17dis puts 60 may 15
Market ETF inverses buy:
sh (spy short).
sqqq (3x leveraged short)
Stocks to Short (sell high buy low later):
airlines: BA UAL DAL
cruises: RCL CCL
hotels: MAR
the whole market: spy vgt
housing: z
I predict an insanely bloody Monday next week.
SH: inverse the s&p 500 stock at normal leverage. aka short the market. Only hold this when you know the future’s going to be ugly. Buy this.
SQQQ: inverse the s&p 500 stock at 3x leverage. Normally dangerous to buy and hold this one if you’re comfortable with high risk. it moves 3 times faster than the inverse of the market. Buy this if you’re extra ballsy.
How long will this bear market recession last? at least 3 months
Based on history at least 3 months to possibly 3 years.
I’m going to sit here looking pretty holding cash and treasuries.
The great decline of 2020. Stocks to watch & buy in the bear market
This is just the start of the US stock panic today : March 9, 2020. I’d wait ~6 weeks before adding positions or whenever these big boys hit these prices I’d buy at.
Put these big boys on your priority buy list ~price I’d buy some at [] today’s price
msft ~ 130. [150] today
goog ~ 1100 [1215] today
amzn ~ 1600 [1800] today
nvda ~220 [245] today
shop ~ 400 [418] today
amd ~ 35 [43] today
now ~250 [292] today
aapl ~ 245 [266] today
adbe ~ 280 [305] today
V ~150 [171] today
MA ~ 240 [262] today
Just be aware these things corrections/recessions are going to last a long while, I assume 6-12 months to go.
- So if you want get out on the 2nd quarter and take gains from last 12 years (assuming you were fully in stocks) it’s not terrible idea tomorrow: March 10,2020, the pump after the dump day to sell.
- Or just really hunker down prepare for at least -20% from the top (we’re at past -10%) for the next 6 months is going to be brutal.
I plan on buying more when all the lagging metrics get really bad or just sit it out until we’re in recovery mode and going back up and Coronavirus isn’t a thing anymore.
Two Stocks going up during Corona-recession 2020
Teladoc Health, Inc. (TDOC) [135]
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/tdoc
Everyone’s going to hunker down in their homes while the coronavirus fear spreads.
Teledoc lets you make doctor visits and get prescriptions for drugs without going to the Doctor’s office.
Zoom Video (ZM) [113]
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/zm
Zoom video enables people to have video calls and work from home. Fairly recent ipo, their product is great though. This one’s expensive but worth high risk / reward. Zoom video has been flying high since china has all their people who can work from home working from home. United States is likely to do the same soon.
Safe Stocks / ETFs to hold during turbulent times
Run to Treasury bonds or gold when you really want to stay on the side lines.
Treasury bonds are basically US govt. “I owe you” money.
TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are a form of U.S. Treasury bond designed to help investors protect against inflation. These bonds are indexed to inflation, have U.S. government backing, and pay investors a fixed interest rate as the bond’s par value adjusts with the inflation rate.) ~3%.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Treasury_security
https://www.thebalance.com/how-do-tips-work-417128
SHY : iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/shy
lowest beta, barely ever moves, 2% dividend. fairly safe
SHV : iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF (SHV)
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/shv
Ultra short term united states treasury etf super safest.
BND: Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND)
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/bnd
This one may be affected by corporate bonds, it’s extra cheap
TLT : iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/tlt
0.15% expense ratio, includes short and longer term treasury. Moves bit more with market
IAU : NYSEArca – Nasdaq Real Time Price. Currency in USD
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/iau
Gold ETF, sit on the sides until the chaos is over.
Not good for long term investment.
If the account is for your near retirement Father/Grandpa and risk must be taken off the table. Then go SHY or just Cash
Websites and Podcasts to keep up with Stock News
Daily news:
Yahoo Finance Market Minute https://pca.st/5ai0rfj5
Yahoo Finance Daily https://pca.st/MXVr
Robinhood Snacks https://pca.st/aZx8
Your money Briefing by WSJ https://pca.st/1HUvIQ
Market Foolery by Motley Fool . https://pca.st/NRFjZA
Industry Focus by Motley Fool https://pca.st/nj6A
MarketPlace https://pca.st/apmmarket
Marketplace Tech https://pca.st/9tIS
Bloomberg Surveillance https://pca.st/f9wh
Weekly News:
Alpha Trader https://pca.st/urzf49bq
Motley Fool Money https://pca.st/GTStwJ
Motley Fool Answers https://pca.st/motleyanswers
Planet Money : https://pca.st/planetmoney
Rule Breaker Investing by Motley Fool https://pca.st/i6FE
Bloomberg Trillions : https://pca.st/733F
Longer Term Investing:
Value Investing with Legends: https://pca.st/R0P6
Invest like the Best : https://pca.st/mpbX
We Study Billionaires : https://pca.st/ShhY
Exchanges at Goldman Sachs https://pca.st/goldman
Chat with Traders https://pca.st/jAp3
News sites:
https://finance.yahoo.com/
http://money.cnn.com/
https://www.wsj.com/
https://atom.finance/welcome
https://snacks.robinhood.com/ (also in podcast form email version)
Forums:
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets (forum)
https://stocktwits.com/
Chart sites:
https://www.tradingview.com/
http://finviz.com/map.ash
General Info:
https://www.investopedia.com/
